Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.940088e-03 0.002127 0.002314 0.002515 0.002726 0.002938 0.003169
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.669196e-03 0.001972 0.002286 0.002636 0.003011 0.003401 0.003834
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.278152e-03 0.001654 0.002062 0.002531 0.003051 0.003604 0.004233
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 9.886467e-04 0.001416 0.001901 0.002479 0.003138 0.003854 0.004685
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.872586e-04 0.001255 0.001809 0.002492 0.003289 0.004174 0.005216
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.263181e-04 0.001120 0.001734 0.002514 0.003445 0.004496 0.005750
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.074584e-04 0.001022 0.001691 0.002566 0.003632 0.004852 0.006323
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.039390e-04 0.000928 0.001643 0.002604 0.003797 0.005180 0.006864
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.086716e-04 0.000828 0.001577 0.002611 0.003919 0.005456 0.007344
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.166522e-04 0.000713 0.001476 0.002566 0.003971 0.005644 0.007718
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.560926e-04 0.000636 0.001420 0.002571 0.004082 0.005898 0.008167
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.096712e-04 0.000570 0.001373 0.002585 0.004198 0.006157 0.008621
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.912790e-05 0.000531 0.001367 0.002660 0.004404 0.006538 0.009236
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.153504e-05 0.000517 0.001401 0.002793 0.004688 0.007019 0.009979
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.306755e-05 0.000412 0.001274 0.002691 0.004663 0.007120 0.010267
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.425461e-06 0.000338 0.001188 0.002642 0.004703 0.007300 0.010650
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.121124e-07 0.000293 0.001148 0.002658 0.004829 0.007587 0.011163
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000256 0.001116 0.002682 0.004965 0.007886 0.011691
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000230 0.001105 0.002737 0.005143 0.008238 0.012284
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000204 0.001086 0.002777 0.005298 0.008561 0.012842
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000172 0.001048 0.002786 0.005407 0.008824 0.013325
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000133 0.000981 0.002739 0.005437 0.008982 0.013678
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000109 0.000947 0.002745 0.005539 0.009233 0.014145